Andrew Sullivan has recently published a couple of interesting pieces in places other than his blog.
First is an article about how Hillary Clinton is expertly positioning herself for a 2008 presidential run:
...[T]he former first lady has been showing signs of ramping up her steely, long-term political ambitions. Republicans are alternately salivating at the prospect and dreading it. Hillary mobilizes the Republican base more effectively than an evangelical rally on an aircraft carrier. But she's also a canny politician, like her husband. And there's always the slight chance that she could prevail.
...She and her husband already exercise strong control over the party, through their cheesy henchman, Terry McAuliffe, who is still party chair despite the Democrats' pathetic showing in last November's Congressional elections. What better strategy than to stay above the fray, while a bunch of ragged and raw aspirants squabble into a loss in November 2008? And so far, alas, the Democratic field looks particularly forlorn.
...So Hillary bides her time, waiting for the kill. She's probably hoping that in a few years' time, her capacity to polarize the country will have abated. Such a hope is probably ill-founded. There's a large swathe of Americans who would rather see Jacques Chirac elected American president than Hillary Rodham Clinton. But the same could have been said about Richard Nixon in the late 1960s, and he still won. So could she. With luck. And in time. And so far, she's been playing her hand very very smoothly.
I think there is little doubt that if Bush is re-elected in 2004, Hillary will run in 2008. Josh Marshall has argued that she has little chance of winning. His points are well taken, but he gives surprisingly short shrift (especially given how connected he is to political tacticians) to an obvious counterargument: that Hillary's power to mobilize the Republican base may turn out to be a Democratic advantage. As shown during her husband's presidency, a divisive figure who stokes rage in the opposition can drive them into self-defeating practices, either through spluttering incoherence or tactical extremism. And we're seeing it during this presidency as well (go to his 5/7 article).
In fact, this bipartisan phenomenon should have a name attached to it. Call it the "Death-Ray Theory of Politics": The ability to drive your opponents stark raving bonkers is a major strategic asset. At a certain point, you can't say that Presidents Clinton or Bush are merely lucky to have such incoherent opponents. As Branch Rickey said, "Luck is the residue of design."
And as long as we're on the subject of those driven mad by President Clinton, check out Sullivan's review of Sidney Blumenthal's book The Clinton Wars. I have no intention of reading Blumenthal's book, but from the reviews I've read it seems unlikely that the book is anywhere near as insightful as Sullivan's review:
...It has the tone and manner and piety of one of those "Lives of the Saints" books most Catholic school kids were once forced to read at some point or other. It’s not a memoir, or a history. It’s a Gospel. Its facts are assembled, as the facts in the Gospels were assembled, for one purpose only: to affirm the faith, to rally the flock, to spread the further glory of the Church. It’s an allegory of eternal good and evil—a passion narrative with a scriptural past and a resurrection at the end, the first-person narrative of one saint who prevailed.
That saint is Bill Clinton. Of all the characters who have graced the office of the Presidency, Sidney picks William Jefferson Clinton as the moral exemplar. There is not a scintilla of a clue anywhere in this book that Mr. Blumenthal sees even a trace of irony in this selection.
...Mr. Clinton is and was a fascinatingly complex, flawed, intelligent, charismatic human being. Few people got as close to him as Sidney did—at moments of extreme tension and drama. The potential for a real and vivid portrait of the man is great. And yet the picture we get of Mr. Clinton from this book is strangely blank. No foibles; no expletives; no tears; no wit; not a single memorable phrase; not even a fresh insight into the man’s psycho-sexual compulsions. That’s what happens when the religious temperament prevails. The need to prove not just that Mr. Clinton’s opponents were evil, wrong, dumb, malign, gob-smackingly corrupt and duplicitous in every single respect, but that the President was noble, grand, progressive, epic and world-historical must, by its very nature, obscure nuance. Nuance, after all, could lead to doubt; and doubt to error; and error to damnation. And beyond damnation, there’s always the danger of becoming a Republican.
Read the whole thing.
Comments
You can read some excerpts from Blumenthal's book on salon.com. It's definitely not worth buying, from what I can tell, especially with Hillary's own book in the wings, but I think you can get a good sense of the whole. Sullivan seems pretty on target.
Posted by: Avraham Bronstein | May 15, 2003 11:18 PM
You could call it "Death Ray," but Muhammad Ali called it "rope-a-dope," and in Ali's case it wasn't just about letting the other guy (Foreman) wear himself out hitting you; it was also about taunting and provoking him into getting so mad he doesn't see why what he's doing doesn't work.
Of course, in Hilary's case she has an extra weapon: because she is a woman, the press will call anyone who criticizes her a bully.
Posted by: Crank | May 16, 2003 12:37 PM
Just curious, I see some weird layout when loading this blog using Mac OSX. Maybe it is only my problem.
Posted by: dns | January 30, 2004 11:52 PM