« Previous Entry | Back to Blissful Knowledge | Next Entry »


October 17, 2002
MORE ON NORTH KOREA

Lots of embarrassing things were written several years ago regarding the accord which has now been blown to bits (pun not intended, hopefully). TNR's blog has one. More excruciating is a NYT editorial unearthed by Jonah Goldberg, which I will reproduce in full.

Diplomacy with North Korea has scored a resounding triumph. Monday's draft agreement freezing and then dismantling North Korea's nuclear program should bring to an end two years of international anxiety and put to rest widespread fears that an unpredictable nation might provoke nuclear disaster.
The U.S. negotiator Robert Gallucci and his North Korean interlocutors have drawn up a detailed road map of reciprocal steps that both sides accepted despite deep mutual suspicion. In so doing they have defied impatient hawks and other skeptics who accused the Clinton Administration of gullibility and urged swifter, stronger action. The North has agreed first to freeze its nuclear program in return for U.S. diplomatic recognition and oil from Japan and other countries to meet its energy needs. Pyongyang will then begin to roll back that program as an American-led consortium replaces the North's nuclear reactors with two new ones that are much less able to be used for bomb-making. At that time, the North will also allow special inspections of its nuclear waste sites, which could help determine how much plutonium it had extracted from spent fuel in the past.
A last-minute snag, North Korea's refusal to resume its suspended talks with neighboring South Korea, was resolved to Seoul's satisfaction. If Washington and Pyongyang approve the agreement, and if the North fulfills its commitments, this negotiation could become a textbook case on how to curb the spread of nuclear arms.
Hawks, arguing that the North was simply stalling while it built more bombs, had called for economic sanctions or attacks on the North's nuclear installations. The Administration muted the war talk and pursued determined diplomacy.
Reassuring the North paid off in the end. Given the residual mistrust between the two sides, the U.S. will now sensibly provide more tangible reassurance. It is moving toward diplomatic recognition, in the form of an exchange of liaison offices, and economic cooperation, in the form of heavy fuel oil from others in the U.S.-led consortium and the start of construction of new nuclear reactors.
In return, the North will put its nuclear program in a deep freeze by not refueling its nuclear reactor, arranging temporary safe storage of the spent fuel rods removed from that reactor and sealing its reprocessing facility to prevent the extraction of plutonium from those fuel rods. Implementing the freeze and allowing it to be verified are important tests of the North's good faith.
Then, in elaborately choreographed stages detailed in a confidential note, nuclear dismantling will proceed step-by-step with reactor replacement. That gives both sides leverage against reneging. At the end of stage one, with construction of the first reactor well under way but before key nuclear components have been supplied, the North will allow special inspections of its nuclear waste sites.
In stage two, as construction proceeds on the two reactors, the North will gradually ship its 8,000 spent fuel rods abroad for reprocessing. In stage three, as the second replacement reactor nears completion, the North will dismantle all its bomb-making facilities, including its old graphite reactors and reprocessing plant.
Critics say the U.S. is in effect bribing North Korea to comply with the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. Yet Washington has previously provided inducements to others, including South Korea, to refrain from bomb-making. It has gotten the North to do a lot more than the treaty requires, like dismantle its nuclear installations.
From the start, the hawks' alternative to diplomacy was full of danger. Their solution -- economic sanctions and bombing runs -- might have disarmed North Korea, but only at the risk of war. President Clinton, former President Carter and Mr. Gallucci deserve warm praise for charting a less costly and more successful course.

Those "hawks" look a little smarter now, don't they? At least Josh Marshall has enough intellectual integrity to admit that on many of the big foreign-policy questions over the last couple of decades, the "hawks" were right.
This John McCain quote cited by Rod Dreher holds up a little better:

On at least eight previous occasions, North Korea has lied to the Clinton Administration. With this agreement, Administration officials have willingly acquiesced in Pyongyang's almost certain further deception. Yet again, the Administration has mistaken resolving the North Korean nuclear crisis with merely postponing its apogee.
...I suspect that the Administration's willlingness to delay the resolution of this crisis is premised on their presumption that the bankrupt North Korean economy will force the regime's collapse before they violate the agreement. Unfortunately, their economy may be salvaged during the interim period by the hallf a billion tons of oil they will receive annually, the opening of trade relations with the U.S., and greater trade with its Asian neighbors, which the agreement [provides for]. Thus, the Administration has accomplished the remarkable feat of allowing the North Koreans to have their carrot cake and eat it too.

Posted by Dr. Manhattan at 7:58 PM |




Blog Archives
March 2008
December 2005
August 2005
June 2005
May 2005
April 2005
March 2005
November 2004
September 2004
August 2004
April 2004
March 2004
February 2004
January 2004
December 2003
November 2003
October 2003
September 2003
August 2003
July 2003
June 2003
May 2003
February 2003
January 2003
December 2002
November 2002
October 2002
September 2002
August 2002
July 2002
June 2002
May 2002
April 2002
March 2002
February 2002
Click for archives by week


Blog Categories
Autism
Baseball
From Blogger
Jewish/Israel
Markets
News
Other
Personal
Politics & Policy
War
Website related


Bloggers & Columnists
&c.
A Small Victory
A Taxing Blog
About Last Night
Agitator
Agonist
Aidel Maidel
Alas, a Blog
Allah
Altercation
Amish Tech Support
Amitai Etzioni
Amygdala
An Unsealed Room
Andrew Ferguson
Andrew Olmstead
Andrew Sullivan
Apt. 11D
Apikorsus Online
Armed Liberal
Arnold Kling
Asymmetrical Information
Atlantic Blog
Back Row of the 'Beis
Balkinization
Balloon Juice
Baraita
Baynonim
Beauty of Gray
Belgravia Dispatch
Ben Chorin
Best of the Web
Bloghead
Bloviator
Brad DeLong
Bring Back Sincerity
Brink Lindsey
Brothers Judd
Buck Stops Here
Buzz Machine
California Insider
CalPundit/Political Animal
CantWatch
Capital Games
Chakira
Charles Krauthammer
Charles Murtaugh
Chayyei Sarah
ChicagoBoyz
Chris Mooney
Clayton Cramer
Colby Cosh
Cold Fury
Common Sense and Wonder
Confessions of an Orthodox Jewish Straight Theatre Queen
Conspiracy to Keep You Poor and Stupid
Command Post
Cooped Up
The Corner
Cornfield Commentary
Corp Law Blog
CounterRevolutionary
Counterspin Central
Crescat Sententia
Critical Mass
Crooked Timber
Croooow Blog
Cut on the Bias
Daily Howler
DailyKOS
Daily Pundit
Daimnation!
Daniel W. Drezner
Daniel Pipes
Dave Barry
David Frum
DefenseTech
Deionychus antirrhopus
Discriminations
Disgusted Liberal
Dr. Weevil
D-Squared Digest
Easterblogg
Economic Principals
EconoPundit
Edge of England's Sword
Eject! Eject! Eject!
Electric Venom
Elizabeth Spiers
Eschaton
Eve Tushnet
Expat Egghead
Frum Dad
Frum Talk
Gawker
GedankenPundit
Gene Expression
George F. Will
Giants and Dwarfs
Gideon's Blog
GirlHock
God of the Machine
Goldberg File
Haggai's Place
Hasidic Rebel
Head Heeb
Hirhurim
Hit and Run
House of Hock
How Appealing
Howard Kurtz
HoyStory
Iberian Notes
Idealogian
Imshin
In the Pipeline
IndePundit
InstaLawyer
InstaPundit
Intel Dump
Invisible Adjunct
Israeli Guy
IsraPundit
IvyJews
Jacob T. Levy
James Lileks
Jason Rylander
Jewish Musings
Joanne Jacobs
John Ellis
John Leo
Jonathan Rauch
Juan Cole
Juan Gato
Junius
Just One Minute
Kausfiles
Ken Layne
Kesher Talk
KickAAS
Kicker
Kieran Healy
The Knowledge Problem
The Kolkata Libertarian
L.A. Examiner
Letter from Gotham
Little Green Footballs
Man Without Qualities
Mark Kleiman
Mark Steyn
Martin Kramer
Marvin Schick
Matt Welch
Matthew Miller
Matthew Yglesias
Max Power
MaxSpeak
MedPundit
MedRants
Meryl Yourish
Michael Barone
Michael Kelly
Michael Lewis
Michael J. Totten
Michelle Malkin
Midwest Conservative Journal
MOChassid
Mullings
Muslim Pundit
Norah Vincent
Norwegian Blogger
The Note
N.Z. Bear
Oliver Willis
One Hand Clapping
Outside the Beltway
Overlawyered
OxBlog
Patio Pundit
Patrick Ruffini
Paul Krugman (unofficial)
Pejman Pundit
PLA
Political Aims
The Poor Man
Porphyrogenitus
Power Line
Priorities and Frivolities
Professor Bainbridge
Protein Wisdom
Protocols
Protocols of the Yuppies of Zion
PunditWatch
QuasiPundit
Rachel Lucas
Rand Simberg
Rantburg
Real Clear Politics
Regions of Mind
Respectful of Otters
Ribbity Frog
Right Wing News
Rob Lyman
Robert Kagan
Roger L. Simon
Safety Valve
Samizdata
Sand in the Gears
Sgt. Stryker
Scrappleface
Sebastian Holsclaw
Seraphic Secret
Shadow of the Hegemon
Shaigetz
Shark Blog
Shiloh Bucher
Silent Running
Sine qua Non Pundit
Somewhere on A1A
Sneaking Suspicions
SoxBlog
SpinSanity
Spinsters
The Spoons Experience
Steve Chapman (Tribune)
Steven Chapman (blog)
Strategy Page
Styx
Tacitus
Tal G. in Jerusalem
Talk Left
Talking Dog
Talking Points Memo
TAPPED
Ted Barlow
This Normal Life
This Woman's Work
Tightly Wound
Tim Blair
Treppenwitz
Town Crier
2Blowhards
Unqualified Offerings
U.S.S. Clueless
Victor Davis Hanson
View from Here
Virginia Postrel
VodkaPundit
The Volokh Conspiracy
Wampum
War Liberal
Where is Raed
William Burton
William Saletan
Winds of Change
Wonkette
Yale Pundits
YUtopia
Zogby Blog


Jewish & Israel
Azure
Bar-Ilan University
Chief Rabbi (UK)
Edah
eParsha
Ha-aretz
Hebrew University
OU Institute for Public Affairs
Israeli Defense Forces
Jerusalem Post
Jerusalem Report
JewishLaw
Jewish Theological Seminary
Jewish Week
Jewish World Review
Jewsweek
Kashrut.com
Meimad
Middle East Media Research Institute
Orthodox Union
Shalem Institute
Kosher Restaurant Database
Soloveitchik Institute
Tanach Study Center
Virtual Beit Midrash
Yeshiva University
Yeshivat Chovevei Torah
YIVO Institute for Jewish Research


Baseball & Other Sports
Aaron's Baseball Blog
Against the Grain
All-Baseball.com
Allen Barra
Always Amazin'
Armchair GM
Astros Daily
Bambino's Curse
Baseball Crank
Baseball Immortals
Baseball Musings
Baseball Prospectus
Baseball Primer
Baseball Outsider
Baseball Reference
Baseball Savant
Baseball Truth
Baseball Widow
Baysball
Bench Coach
Big Bad Baseball
Bill Simmons
Birds in the Belfry
Boy of Summer
Braves Journal
Bronx Banter
Clifford's Big Red Blog
Cub Reporter
Dan Lewis
Dodger Thoughts
Dominican Players
Doug Pappas' Business of Baseball
Dugout Dollars
East Coast Agony
Eddie Kranepool Society
Elephants in Oakland
Football Outsiders
Fun with Win Shares
Futility Infielder
Hardball Times
Honest Wagner
Idiots Write About Sports
Joel Sherman
MLB.com
Mariner Musings
Mike's Baseball Rants
Mudville Magazine
Off-Wing Opinion
Only Baseball Matters
Peter Gammons
Pinstriped Bible
Pinstripe News
Raindrops
Redbird Nation
Replacement Level Yankees Weblog
Retrosheet
Rookie's Life
Rich's Weekend Baseball BEAT
Rob Neyer
SaberMets
Talking Baseball
Thomas Boswell
Thoughts from Diamond Mind Tom Verducci
Transaction Guy
Transition Game
U.S.S. Mariner
Universal Baseball Blog, Inc.
View from the 700 Level
Wait Til Next Year
Weblog that Derek Built
West 116th Street
WhatifSports.com
Will Carroll
Win Shares (in-season)
Yankees, Mets and the Rest


Publications & Policy
American Enterprise Institute
The American Prospect
Arts & Letters Daily
Atlantic Monthly
Brookings Institute
Cato Institute
City Journal
Commentary
Economist
Financial Times
Foreign Affairs
Heritage Foundation
Manhattan Institute
National Review Online
The New Republic
The New Yorker
New York Sun
New York Times
Progressive Policy Institute
RAND
Reason
Resources for the Future
Roll Call
Salon
Slate
Tech Central Station
Wall Street Journal
Washington Monthly
Washington Post
Weekly Standard
Wilson Quarterly


Miscellaneous Links
Bangitout.com
Dilbert Zone
The Great Movies
Neil Gaiman
The Onion
Snopes


Search the Site

Try advanced site search

Site Credits

last 50 hits in



Listed on BlogShares





E-mail Me